UK
Cases, + 3,862 (+ 37,487)
Down 1.7%
Deaths, + 19 (+ 437) = 126,593
Down 31.7%
Hospitalised, + 343 = 4,560
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk
People vaccinated up to and including 27 March 2021
First dose: 30,151,287
Second dose: 3,527,481
US
Cases, +71,593 (+ 421,233) = 30,000,000
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases
Deaths, 1,283 = 545,273
Vaccines
https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations
First dose, 91,707,729 (27.6%)
Second dose, 50,141,769 (15.1)
Brazil
https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2021/03/27/Brazil-COVID-19-surge-new-variant/5401616866503/
https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-variant-rages-in-brazil-posing-global-risk-11616845889
Population, 213 million
Deaths, + 3,000 (per day)
Andréia Cruz, emergency-ward nurse, Porto Alegre
We’re in the trenches here, fighting a war
P.1 strain, now in 20 countries
Manaus variant
Industrial hub, truck route
Most prevalent variant in Brazil
New York, found last week
Up to 2.2 times more contagious
Up to 61% more able to reinfect people
? increased mortality
Porto Alegre
P.1 at least 60%
Hospitals overwhelmed
Doctors report younger patients
Doctors report fitter patients getting sick
Deaths in Brazil (WSJ analysis)
Under 60 previous peak, 26% of deaths
Under 60s, this peak, 30% of deaths
Diego Montarroyos Simões, intensive-care doctor, Recife
We’re seeing patients who aren’t obese, who have no comorbidities, who are not old but, even so, the virus just overwhelms them
Problems
US, widespread complacency
Fully vaccinated in Brazil, 1.9%
? further P.1 mutations
William Hanage, Harvard University epidemiologist
There is a rush to declare this pandemic is over, and it’s not
I dread to think what will happen when P.1 manages to get to places that are not likely to get vaccinated for quite some time
Most daily cases per capita ever
Uruguay, Brazil, Chile, Peru, Colombia
Felipe Naveca, Oswaldo Cruz Foundation
https://portal.fiocruz.br/en
If we don’t stop the virus circulating, it won’t stop evolving
Peru
40% of infections are P.1
Current vaccines, efficacy against P.1?
Preliminary studies
Yes, but possible/probably reduced efficacy
Source