Excess deaths, the data

Champion mountain biker dies

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/cycling/2022/08/24/rab-wardell-dies-cardiac-arrest-two-days-winning-scottish-mountain/

https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/aug/24/mountain-bike-rider-rab-wardell-dies-aged-37

Rab Wardell wins Scottish MTB XC Championships

Dies in his sleep a few days later at 37

Scottish cycling

We have very little information at this stage,

Katie Archibald

He had suffered a cardiac arrest

the paramedics arrived within minutes, but his heart stopped and they couldn’t bring him back

Inquiry into excess deaths in Scotland since the start of the pandemic

https://www.parliament.scot/chamber-and-committees/committees/current-and-previous-committees/session-6-covid19-recovery-committee/business-items/excess-deaths-in-scotland-since-the-start-of-the-pandemic-inquiry
https://data.gov.scot/coronavirus-covid-19/detail.html#excess_deaths

Scottish government

Deaths in Scotland are 11% above average for this time of year and have been above the average for the past 26 weeks

Indications and utility of cardiac genetic testing in athletes

June 16th 2022

https://academic.oup.com/eurjpc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/eurjpc/zwac080/6596972

https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/06/220616194624.htm

Up to 80% of athletes who die suddenly had no symptoms or family history of heart disease

Excess all-cause mortality across counties in the United States, March 2020 to December 2021

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9094106/

An estimated 936,911 excess deaths occurred during 2020 and 2021,

of which 171,168 (18.3%) were not assigned to Covid-19 on death certificates

(as an underlying cause of death)

Excess mortality in England and English regions

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/08/18/silent-crisis-soaring-excess-deaths-gripping-britain-tip-iceberg/

England and Wales

For 14 of the past 15 weeks, around 1,000 extra deaths each week, (none of which are due to covid

If the current trajectory continues

Number of non-Covid excess deaths will soon outstrip covid deaths this year (2022)

Circulatory and diabetes, cancers

Prof Carl Heneghan, director of the Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Oxford University

Excess deaths began to increase noticeably from around the end of April.

They have stayed high compared with the past seven years.

The signals in the data suggest something is not quite right

Sustained rises in deaths should trigger an investigation,

that may involve accessing the raw data on death certificates,

a random sample of medical notes,

or analysing autopsies.

I feel there is a lack of clear thinking at the moment and, when it comes to people’s health and wellbeing, you can’t wait – it’s unacceptable

England and Wales, 681 excess deaths at home, (28.1% more than expected)

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/excess-mortality-in-england-and-english-regions

https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiYmUwNmFhMjYtNGZhYS00NDk2LWFlMTAtOTg0OGNhNmFiNGM0IiwidCI6ImVlNGUxNDk5LTRhMzUtNGIyZS1hZDQ3LTVmM2NmOWRlODY2NiIsImMiOjh9

Our world in data excess deaths

https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid

Excess deaths = Reported deaths – Expected deaths

P scores
https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending12august2022
People who would have died this year from old age and natural causes, dyed in the past 2 years from covid
Therefore, this years excess deaths should be below average

Source