Estimation of total mortality due to COVID-19
http://www.healthdata.org/special-analysis/estimation-excess-mortality-due-covid-19-and-scalars-reported-covid-19-deaths
Ecuador, Peru, and the Russian Federation
Discrepancy between reported deaths and excess mortality
COVID-19 death rate is many multiples larger than official reports
Six drivers of mortality
total COVID-19 death rate
increase in mortality due to needed health care being delayed or deferred
mental health disorders including depression, alcohol, opioid use
reduction in mortality due to decreases in injuries
reductions in mortality due to reduced transmission of other viruses, (influenza, RSV, measles)
reductions in mortality due to some chronic conditions
Predicted ratio of total COVID-19 deaths to reported COVID-19 deaths
Eastern European and Central Asian countries, very high
Higher income countries, much closer to 1
Sub-Saharan Africa, 1.6 to 4.1
India, 2.96
May 3, 2021
COVID-19 deaths = 6.93 million
Reported number of deaths = 3.24 million
India
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-57027829
India variant UK
https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/surge-testing-bolton-escalated-over-20554409
Surge testing in Bolton, Rumworth, Deane, Great Lever
Two mobile testing units for asymptomatic people
Door to door visiting to encourage testing
Multilanguage leaflet distribution
Infection rates increasing
Bolton, 78%
Trafford, 6%
Rochdale, 3%
Wigan, 4%
Dr Helen Lowey, Bolton Director of Public Health
there is some evidence that the Indian variant spreads more easily than other Covid-19 variants so it is the one that we want to stop and contain
We are working closely with our partners across the community to identify people who have the virus
to increase the numbers of our eligible residents having the vaccine
taking steps to provide additional capacity in these areas
targeted vaccination work to try and nip this in the bud
We are so close to getting things back to normal; let’s keep up the momentum and stop this virus from spreading further
Source